Kuva mu mpera za Mutarama kugeza hagati muri Gashyantare, ICE cotton futures yatangiye kwiyongera cyane, aho amasezerano nyamukuru yazamutse kuva kuri senti 82 kugera kuri senti zirenga 96. Muri iki gihe, nta bintu byihariye byiza byari ku isoko ry'ipamba, ariko ibintu by'ibanze n'uruhande rw'ingenzi byari amakuru asekeje cyane. Kubera igabanuka rusange ry'imigabane n'ibicuruzwa byo muri Amerika, ndetse no kugabanuka gukomeye kw'icyitegererezo cy'igabanuka ry'inyungu ku nyungu muri Amerika, ipamba futures zavuye mu muraba w'izamuka ry'ibiciro bya "lone Wolf", bituma abitabira isoko bumva batangaje.
Abasesenguzi b’ibizaza muri Amerika bavuze ko isoko ry’ipamba riherutse nta bintu bigaragara bifatika bifite, mu gihe inkunga ikomeje kuzamura ubukungu, ubwinshi bw’ubucuruzi n’imyanya ifunguye bisohoka umunsi ku wundi, iyi mikorere idasanzwe iragoye gusobanura, wenda inkunga yamenye ko isoko ritasobanukiwe uko ibintu bimeze. Kugeza ku ya 18 Gashyantare, Inama y’Igihugu y’Ipamba muri Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika (NCC) yashyize ahagaragara umugambi wayo wo gutera ipamba. Nk’uko ubushakashatsi bwa NCC bubigaragaza, intego y’ipamba muri Amerika mu 2024 ni hegitari miliyoni 9.8, igabanuka rya 3.7% ugereranije n’umwaka ushize, bitandukanye cyane n’ibyari byarahanuwe mbere na Cotton Farmers Magazine na USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum. Mbere yaho, abasesenguzi b’abanyamahanga muri rusange bemera ko igiciro cy’ipamba cyazamutse vuba cyane, ukurikije imbonerahamwe ya tekiniki cyari hafi y’ahantu heza cyane ku isoko, byitezwe ko kizahangana cyane muri 95-96 US. Ku ya 20 Gashyantare, bitewe n’ibintu byiza bitunguranye byatumye agace ka NCC gashyirwa mu bikorwa muri Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika kagabanuka, ubwishingizi bw’ubukungu bwa ICE bwaragabanutse cyane nyuma yo gufungura ku ya 20 Gashyantare, kandi kugeza ku gicamunsi cyo ku ya 20 Gashyantare, bwaragabanutseho amanota arenga 200, ayo hasi cyane akaba yaragabanutseho agera kuri senti 92.
Nk’uko bigaragazwa n’ihuriro ry’ubuhinzi rya USDA, umusaruro n’ibikenewe ku isi bizikuba kabiri muri 2024/25, kandi iteganyagihe ry’ibikenewe ku ipamba rirushaho kuba ryiza. Bitewe n’iterambere ry’ubukungu rusange, igogorwa ry’ibikoresho by’inganda n’ubwiyongere bw’ibicuruzwa by’ipamba, ikoreshwa ry’ipamba ryitezwe kugabanuka no kongera ibiciro by’ipamba, kandi ibiciro by’ipamba byitezwe kuzamuka gato. Ariko, nubwo NCC yiteze ko agace k’ipamba muri Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika kazagabanuka, ibiciro by’ipamba byazamutse cyane nyuma yo gutangazwa kw’ubushakashatsi, kandi amahirwe yo kwiyongera k’ubuso bwo guteramo ibihingwa mu buryo bufatika mu gihe cya nyuma ni menshi. Muri icyo gihe, hamwe n’izamuka ry’ikirere mu gace gahingwamo ipamba muri Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika, amahirwe yo gutakaza ipamba muri Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika muri uyu mwaka azaba make cyane ugereranyije n’imyaka ibiri ishize, bityo amahirwe yo kwiyongera cyane k’umusaruro w’ipamba muri Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika ni menshi cyane. Nk’uko biteganywa n’ihuriro ry’ibiteganijwe ubu rya USDA Outlook, umusaruro w’ipamba muri Amerika mu mwaka utaha witezwe kuba miliyoni 16 z’ibirayi, hejuru cyane ugereranyije n’ibirayi miliyoni 12.4 z’uyu mwaka. Nk’uko raporo ya NCC ibivuga, umusaruro w’ipamba muri Amerika witezwe kuba miliyoni 14.6 z’ibirahuri, nabyo bikaba biri hejuru cyane ugereranije n’uyu mwaka.
Ku bijyanye n'ingufu zitangwa mu ipamba, cyane cyane ukwiyongera kw'ingufu zitangwa mu ipamba muri Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika, uburyo ipamba ishobora kuzamuka ni ingenzi cyane mu kuzamuka kw'ibiciro by'ipamba. Nubwo ibidukikije byagutse, bizafata igihe kirekire kugira ngo ipamba igaruke. Ukurikije uko ibintu bimeze vuba aha, nubwo igogorwa ry'ibikoresho rihagaze, kongera ubwinshi bw'inganda byatangiye kugaragara, ariko kuri iki cyiciro ntibirashoboka gushyigikira igiciro cy'ipamba kiri hejuru cyane. Dukurikije ibitekerezo by'isoko ry'amahanga, isoko mpuzamahanga ry'ipamba mu gihe cy'iserukiramuco ry'impeshyi ni rito cyane, urwego rw'ubushakashatsi ku nganda ruri hasi cyane ugereranije n'igiciro cy'ipamba, kandi igiciro mpuzamahanga cy'ubudodo ntikirajyanye n'umuvuduko w'ipamba, niba inyungu z'inganda mu byumweru bike biri imbere zidashobora kwemezwa, igiciro cy'ipamba kiri hejuru amaherezo kizagorana kugumana.
Isoko: Umuyoboro w'Ipamba w'Ubushinwa
Igihe cyo kohereza: Gashyantare-21-2024