Ikibazo cy'inyanja itukura kirakomeje! Kuba maso birakenewe, kandi iki kintu ntigishobora kwirengagizwa

What Industrial Co., LTD. (izwi hano ku izina rya "Ni iyihe migabane") (Ku wa 24 Ukuboza) yatangaje ko isosiyete na Luoyang Guohong Investment Holding Group Co., LTD.
Mu gihe gahunda yo gukaza ibiciro bya banki nkuru ku isi igenda irangira, izamuka ry’ibiciro mu bihugu bikomeye birimo kugenda bigabanuka buhoro buhoro ugana ku ntego.
Ariko, ihungabana riherutse kugaragara ku nzira inyura mu Nyanja Itukura ryongeye gukurura impungenge ko ibintu bya politiki y’isi ari byo byagize uruhare runini mu kwiyongera kw’ibiciro kuva umwaka ushize, kandi ko izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ubwikorezi n’imbogamizi ku ruhererekane rw’ibicuruzwa bishobora kongera kuba ikibazo gishya cy’izamuka ry’ibiciro. Muri 2024, isi izazana umwaka w’ingenzi w’amatora, ese imiterere y’ibiciro, byitezwe ko bizaba bisobanutse, izongera guhindagurika?

 

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Igiciro cy'imizigo cyagize ingaruka zikomeye ku ifungwa ry'inyanja itukura
Ibitero by’aba-Houthi bo muri Yemeni ku mato anyura mu nzira y’umuyoboro w’inyanja itukura-Suez byiyongereye kuva mu ntangiriro z’uku kwezi. Iyi nzira, igizwe na 12% by’ubucuruzi mpuzamahanga, ikunze kohereza ibicuruzwa biva muri Aziya ku byambu by’i Burayi n’uburasirazuba bwa Amerika.
Amasosiyete y’ubwikorezi arimo gutegekwa kunyura mu nzira. Umubare w’amato y’amakontenari agera mu kigobe cya Aden wagabanutseho 82% mu cyumweru gishize ugereranije n’igice cya mbere cy’uku kwezi, nk’uko imibare ituruka muri Clarkson Research Services ibigaragaza. Mbere yaho, amabakure miliyoni 8.8 ya peteroli na toni hafi miliyoni 380 z’imizigo byanyuraga muri iyo nzira buri munsi, ibi bikaba bitwara hafi kimwe cya gatatu cy’amakontenari atwara abantu ku isi.
Guhindukira ugana Cape of Good Hope, byakongeraho ibirometero 3.000 kugeza kuri 3.500 ndetse bikongeraho iminsi 10 kugeza kuri 14, byatumye ibiciro ku nzira zimwe na zimwe zo muri Aziya bigera ku rwego rwo hejuru mu myaka hafi itatu ishize. Ikigo cy’ubwikorezi cya Maersk cyatangaje kohereza ikiguzi cy’inyongera cya $700 ku kontineri isanzwe ya metero 20 ku murongo wayo w’i Burayi, irimo ikiguzi cy’inyongera cya $200 (TDS) n’ikiguzi cy’inyongera cya $500 (PSS). Andi masosiyete menshi yo gutwara ibintu na yo yakurikijeho.
Rico Luman, umuhanga mu by’ubukungu muri ING, yagize ati: “Ibiciro by’imizigo bizaba hejuru ugereranyije n’ibyo abantu batekerezaga, kandi ibyo bizatwara igihe kingana iki bigatuma ibiciro bizamuka?”
Impuguke nyinshi mu bijyanye n'ibijyanye n'ubwikorezi ziteze ko igihe inzira yo ku Nyanja Itukura izaba imaze igihe kirenga ukwezi, urusobe rw'ibicuruzwa ruzumva igitutu cy'izamuka ry'ibiciro, hanyuma amaherezo rukazatwara umutwaro w'abaguzi, mu buryo bunyuranye, Uburayi bushobora kuzahura n'ingaruka nyinshi kurusha Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika. Umucuruzi w'ibikoresho byo mu nzu wo muri Suwede witwa IKEA yaburiye ko ikibazo cya Suez Canal cyatera gutinda no kugabanya kuboneka kwa bimwe mu bicuruzwa bya IKEA.
Isoko riracyareba amakuru agezweho ku bijyanye n’umutekano muri urwo rugendo. Mbere yaho, Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika zatangaje ishyirwaho ry’ihuriro ry’abaherekeza rigamije kurinda umutekano w’amato. Nyuma Maersk yatangaje itangazo rivuga ko yiteguye kongera kohereza mu Nyanja Itukura. Yagize ati: “Ubu turimo gukora gahunda yo kugeza amato ya mbere muri uru rugendo vuba bishoboka.” Mu kubikora, ni ngombwa kandi kwita ku mutekano w’abakozi bacu.”
Iyi nkuru yanatumye umubare w’ubwikorezi bw’ingendo mu Burayi ugabanuka cyane kuwa mbere. Kugeza mu gihe cyo gutangaza amakuru, urubuga rwa Maersk ntiruratangaza itangazo ryemewe ku isubukurwa ry’ingendo.
Umwaka w'amatora akomeye utera ikibazo
Inyuma y’ikibazo cy’inzira yo mu Nyanja Itukura, ni nacyo gishushanyo mbonera cy’izamuka rishya ry’ibyago bya politiki mu karere.
Bivugwa ko aba Houthi nabo bigeze kwibasira amato muri ako gace mbere. Ariko ibitero byariyongereye kuva intambara yatangira. Uyu mutwe wateye ubwoba ko uzagaba igitero ku bwato ubwo aribwo bwose wibwira ko bugiye cyangwa buturutse muri Isirayeli.
Udushyamirane twakomeje kuba twinshi mu Nyanja Itukura mu mpera z'icyumweru gishize nyuma y'uko ihuriro rishinzwe. Ubwato bunini bw'ibinyabutabire bufite ibendera rya Noruveje bwatangaje ko bwambuwe gato n'indege y'intambara idafite indege, mu gihe ubwato bunini bw'indege bufite ibendera ry'Ubuhinde bwarashwe, nubwo nta muntu wakomeretse. Ubuyobozi bukuru bwa Amerika bwavuze ko ibi byago ari ibitero bya 14 na 15 ku bwato bw'ubucuruzi kuva ku ya 17 Ukwakira, mu gihe ubwato bw'intambara bwa Amerika bwarashe indege enye zitagira indege.
Muri icyo gihe, Irani na Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika, Isiraheli mu karere ku kibazo cy’ “amagambo ahinnye” na byo byatumye isi yose ihangayikishwa n’uko ibintu byari bimeze mbere mu Burasirazuba bwo Hagati.
Mu by’ukuri, umwaka utaha wa 2024 uzaba "umwaka w’amatora" nyayo, aho amatora menshi hirya no hino ku isi, harimo Irani, Ubuhinde, Uburusiya n’ibindi byibandwaho, kandi amatora ya Amerika ateye impungenge cyane. Uruvange rw’amakimbirane yo mu karere n’izamuka ry’ivanguramoko ry’abahezanguni nabyo byatumye ibyago bya politiki y’ubutaka birushaho kuba bibi.
Nk’ikintu gikomeye cyagize ingaruka kuri iki cyiciro cy’inyungu za banki nkuru ku isi, izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ingufu riterwa n’izamuka ry’ibiciro bya peteroli na gaze karemano ku isi nyuma y’izamuka ry’ikibazo muri Ukraine ntirishobora kwirengagizwa, kandi ingaruka z’ibyago bya politiki ku ruhererekane rw’ibicuruzwa nabyo byateje ibiciro bikomeye by’inganda igihe kirekire. Ubu ibicu bishobora kuba byaragarutse. Danske Bank yavuze muri raporo yohererejwe umunyamakuru wa mbere w’imari ko mu 2024 Gicurasi hazaba hari ihinduka ry’amakimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine, kandi ni ngombwa kwita ku niba inkunga ya Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika n’Inteko Ishinga Amategeko y’u Burayi itera Ukraine izahinduka, kandi amatora ya Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika ashobora no guteza imvururu mu karere ka Aziya na Pasifika.
Jim O'Neil, wahoze ari umuhanga mu by'ubukungu muri Goldman Sachs akaba na perezida wa Goldman Asset Management, yavuze aherutse ku bijyanye n'icyerekezo cy'izamuka ry'ibiciro mu mwaka utaha, agira ati: "Ubunararibonye bwo mu myaka mike ishize bugaragaza ko ibiciro bishobora guterwa cyane n'ibintu bitazwi n'ibitarasobanuka."
Mu buryo nk'ubwo, Umuyobozi Mukuru wa UBS, Sergio Ermotti, yavuze ko atemera ko banki nkuru zifite izamuka ry'ibiciro. Yanditse hagati muri uku kwezi ko “umuntu atagomba kugerageza guhanura amezi make ari imbere – birashoboka cyane ko bidashoboka.” Iki gikorwa gisa nkaho ari cyiza, ariko tugomba kureba niba ibi bizakomeza. Niba izamuka ry'ibiciro mu bihugu byose bikomeye rigeze hafi ku ntego ya 2 ku ijana, politiki ya banki nkuru ishobora koroha gato. Muri iki gihe, ni ngombwa ko habaho kwiyoroshya.”

 

Inkomoko: Interineti


Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukuboza-28-2023